Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Roselle Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34039034400 · Union County, NJ · pop 4,799
With a score of 8/10, tract 34039034400 in Roselle, NJ reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,799 residents. Against Union County at 44.6%, around two-thirds of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,672
Renter share44.4%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate22.0%
Median income$77,969
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
82
th percentile
High
National
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roselle and the region
Centroid at 40.6494, -74.2538 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roselle scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Roselle
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
22.0% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,523 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roselle
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roselle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roselle
6.1
How Roselle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 4%Grade B
- 35%Grade C
- 49%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 373Total filings over 4 yrs
- 14.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.6%Peak (2013)
- 92Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.6%Housing insecurity
- 15.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.8%Food insecurity
- 21.2%SNAP enrollment
- 14.3%Transit barriers
- 18.3%No health insurance
- 18.1%Frequent mental distress
- 31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roselle
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
It sits 1.4 points above the Union County average of 6.6. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.
Food insecurity runs 29.8% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 373 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2013, when 12.6% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 14.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #7,836 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039034400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039034400?
Census tract 34039034400 in Roselle scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039034400?
Median gross rent is $1,523/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039034400?
22.0% of residents in tract 34039034400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,799.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039034400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 86th, minority 92th, housing 61th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039034400?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 373 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039034400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.83% of renter households, peaking at 12.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039034400 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039034400 compare to Roselle overall?
Tract 34039034400 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Roselle at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roselle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039034400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 49% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roselle
Top eight tracts in Roselle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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