Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally
Park Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Roselle
Tract 34039034200 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,849 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 6.9/10, tract 34039034200 in the Park Village neighborhood of Roselle ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,849 residents. That is riskier than about 93% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,411 a month while the average household earns $88,750 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,314
Renter share38.5%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$88,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roselle and the region
Centroid at 40.6536, -74.2674 · click any tract to drill in
Why Park Village scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Roselle
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,411 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roselle
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roselle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roselle
6.1
How Park Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 86%Grade B
- 14%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 415Total filings over 4 yrs
- 24.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 29.7%Peak (2013)
- 87Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 46% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Park Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.4%Housing insecurity
- 11.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.7%Food insecurity
- 12.5%SNAP enrollment
- 10.3%Transit barriers
- 15.0%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 25.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Park Village
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Roselle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Union County average of 6.6 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039034200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039034200?
Census tract 34039034200 in the Park Village neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039034200?
Median gross rent is $1,411/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039034200?
13.3% of residents in tract 34039034200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,849.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039034200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 37th, minority 88th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 34039034200 considered part of Park Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039034200 fall within Park Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039034200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 415 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039034200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.36% of renter households, peaking at 29.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34039034200 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34039034200 compare to Roselle overall?
Tract 34039034200 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Roselle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roselle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34039034200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roselle
Top eight tracts in Roselle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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