Census Tract · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Elizabeth Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34039980000 · Union County, NJ · pop 183

Tract 34039980000 sits in Elizabeth eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.2/10. This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score

7.2

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 100% Owners 0%

Tract context

Occupied units8

Renter share100.0%

SVI overall0.44

Poverty rate0.0%

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region

Centroid at 40.6726, -74.1687 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elizabeth scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Elizabeth

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.8

State political climate

New Jersey legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

0.0% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Elizabeth

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Elizabeth

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Elizabeth

7.0

How Elizabeth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

34%Socioeconomic
45%Household composition
95%Racial/ethnic minority
36%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.8%Housing insecurity
9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
25.2%Food insecurity
11.1%SNAP enrollment
12.2%Transit barriers
29.1%No health insurance
18.0%Frequent mental distress
26.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 29.1% against 11.3% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Food insecurity runs 25.2% against 17.8% nationally.

It sits 0.6 points above the Union County average of 6.6. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #11,988 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039980000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039980000?

Census tract 34039980000 in Elizabeth scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039980000?

0.0% of residents in tract 34039980000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 183.

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039980000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 45th, minority 95th, housing 36th.

What share of households in tract 34039980000 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 34039980000 compare to Elizabeth overall?

Tract 34039980000 scores 7.2/10, lower than the parent city of Elizabeth at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 34039980000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth

Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.