Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Park Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Roselle
Tract 34039034200 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,849 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 34039034200 covers part of the Park Village area of Roselle, NJ, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,314
Renter share38.5%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$88,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roselle and the region
Centroid at 40.6536, -74.2674 · click any tract to drill in
Why Park Village scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Roselle
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,411 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roselle
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roselle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roselle
6.1
How Park Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 86%Grade B
- 14%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 415Total filings over 4 yrs
- 24.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 29.7%Peak (2013)
- 87Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 46% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Park Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.4%Housing insecurity
- 11.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.7%Food insecurity
- 12.5%SNAP enrollment
- 10.3%Transit barriers
- 15.0%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 25.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Park Village
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.
Court records carry 415 eviction filings across 4 observed years. It sits 0.7 points above the Union County average of 6.6.
At $1,411 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Roselle commands. The worst year on record was 2013, when 29.7% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 24.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.2/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039034200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039034200?
Census tract 34039034200 in the Park Village neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039034200?
Median gross rent is $1,411/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039034200?
13.3% of residents in tract 34039034200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,849.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039034200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 37th, minority 88th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 34039034200 considered part of Park Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039034200 fall within Park Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039034200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 415 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039034200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.36% of renter households, peaking at 29.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34039034200 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34039034200 compare to Roselle overall?
Tract 34039034200 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Roselle at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roselle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34039034200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roselle
Top eight tracts in Roselle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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