Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Port Ivory Eviction Risk: High , Elizabeth
Tract 34039030900 · Union County, NJ · pop 6,222 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 8/10, tract 34039030900 in the Port Ivory area of Elizabeth, NJ reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,222 residents. Cost burden runs 63% here against 44.6% across Union County.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,912
Renter share67.4%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$82,761
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region
Centroid at 40.6515, -74.2038 · click any tract to drill in
Why Port Ivory scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,627 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
How Port Ivory compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 80%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 286Total filings over 4 yrs
- 5.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2013)
- 69Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Port Ivory. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.4%Housing insecurity
- 16.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.4%Food insecurity
- 23.8%SNAP enrollment
- 17.0%Transit barriers
- 34.7%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 35.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Port Ivory
Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Adults with no health insurance runs 34.7% against 11.3% nationally. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Food insecurity runs 37.4% against 17.8% nationally. This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.9/10.
It sits 1.4 points above the Union County average of 6.6. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 286 filings here across 4 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 7.0% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 6.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039030900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039030900?
Census tract 34039030900 in the Port Ivory neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039030900?
Median gross rent is $1,627/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039030900?
7.5% of residents in tract 34039030900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,222.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039030900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 62th, minority 89th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 34039030900 considered part of Port Ivory?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039030900 fall within Port Ivory (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039030900?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 286 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039030900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.99% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34039030900 struggle to pay rent?
About 30.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34039030900 compare to Elizabeth overall?
Tract 34039030900 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Elizabeth at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34039030900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 80% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth
Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031700
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Gulfport
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031802
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039030701
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031903
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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