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El Morro Valley, New Mexico eviction risk overview
City brief · 53 residents

El Morro Valley, NM Eviction Risk: LOW

Cibola County · Population 53

In 2026
Risk score
2.8
LOW

3th percentile, New Mexico.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.5 Average2.3 Now2.8
4.3 1.5 1976 · score 1.9 1977 · score 1.8 1978 · score 1.8 1979 · score 1.8 1980 · score 1.8 1981 · score 1.8 1982 · score 1.9 1983 · score 1.9 1984 · score 1.8 1985 · score 1.8 1986 · score 1.5 1987 · score 1.5 1988 · score 1.5 1989 · score 1.5 1990 · score 1.5 1991 · score 1.6 1992 · score 2.0 1993 · score 2.0 1994 · score 2.0 1995 · score 2.1 1996 · score 2.1 1997 · score 2.1 1998 · score 2.1 1999 · score 2.1 2000 · score 2.0 2001 · score 2.0 2002 · score 2.1 2003 · score 2.1 2004 · score 2.0 2005 · score 2.0 2006 · score 2.0 2007 · score 2.0 2008 · score 2.7 2009 · score 2.9 2010 · score 3.0 2011 · score 3.1 2012 · score 3.0 2013 · score 2.9 2014 · score 2.9 2015 · score 2.9 2016 · score 2.9 2017 · score 2.9 2018 · score 2.8 2019 · score 2.9 2020 · score 4.1 2021 · score 4.3 2022 · score 3.3 2023 · score 3.1 2024 · score 2.9 2025 · score 2.8 2026 · score 2.8

Key metrics

Estimated values: The U.S. Census suppresses field-level data for small places. Estimated from county average, pop-weighted from real underlying ACS data.
Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.9 Regional 5.9 State 3.9 Economic 1.0 Supply 9.9 Rent Control 2.8 Eviction 3.4 Tenant 9.9 Housing 3.6 2.8 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +1.6% (2024)
    5.9
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.9
  3. State political climate
    New Mexico legislature & governorship
    3.9
  4. Economic stress
    30.9% poverty · 6.1% unemp.
    1.0
  5. Supply constraint
    $783 average · 100.0% renters
    9.9
  6. Rent Control risk
    33.2% of income on rent
    2.8
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    71 days filing → judgment
    3.4
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    100.0% renters
    9.9
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    3.6
Geographic context

Risk heat across El Morro Valley and the region

Click any city to see its score

How El Morro Valley compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Cibola County
Very Low
#28 of 29 cities
Rank in county, 4th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 29 cities in Cibola County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New Mexico
Very Low
#505 of 518 cities
Rank in state, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#505 of 518 cities in New Mexico for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
El Morro Valley risk score vs. county / state / U.S.El Morro Valley: 2.82.8El Morro ValleyThis cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.8
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 2.8/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+0.9 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 71d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $783/mo. A contested eviction takes 71 days and costs $3,246–$7,959 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 100.0%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 53 residents, 100.0% rent. 33% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 30.9% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5.9
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.9 and 5.9 (Dem margin +1.6% (2024)). State climate at 3.9, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 3.9
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 3.9/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 3.4, housing court bias 3.6, rent-control risk 2.8. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-1.6 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 1
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 1. Supply constraint: 9.9. The numbers behind those: 30.9% poverty, 6.1% unemployment, 33% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

El Morro Valley sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
00Overview

About eviction risk in El Morro Valley, NM

Landlording in El Morro Valley, New Mexico, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.8/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

El Morro Valley is a city of 53 residents where 100.0% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 33.2% of income on rent. At an average rent of $783/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How El Morro Valley eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 3.4/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in El Morro Valley closes 71 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of El Morro Valley's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 3.6/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in El Morro Valley runs $3,246 to $7,959 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 71 days of typical timeline and $783/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 9.9/10 in El Morro Valley, and the city has limited rent control exposure (2.8/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New Mexico, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in El Morro Valley: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New Mexico's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $7,959 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in El Morro Valley

Trap · NMSA 47-8 UORRA
Compare El Morro Valley to nearby cities in Cibola County via the related-cities grid below. Each municipality scores separately on the same nine sub-factors. State context: NMSA 47-8 UORRA.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, state-level (no county tracker available). Last update 2026-05-01.

In the most recent month, 1,016 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 0.91× the historical baseline (below baseline). Past 12 months: 12,651 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 74,831.

  • 1,016Past month
  • 12,651Past 12 months
  • 0.91×vs baseline (past mo)
  • 21.2%Repeat-tenant filings
Notice requirement: at least three days notice (in some cases more). Filing fee: minimum filing fee of $77 (depending on the court level).
Last 36 months of filings 2023-05-01 – 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-05-01: 1,392 filings (1.10× hist)2023-06-01: 1,349 filings (1.07× hist)2023-07-01: 1,274 filings (1.01× hist)2023-08-01: 1,498 filings (1.04× hist)2023-09-01: 1,296 filings (1.02× hist)2023-10-01: 1,389 filings (1.05× hist)2023-11-01: 1,118 filings (1.00× hist)2023-12-01: 1,259 filings (1.05× hist)2024-01-01: 1,222 filings (0.96× hist)2024-02-01: 1,110 filings (0.96× hist)2024-03-01: 962 filings (0.86× hist)2024-04-01: 1,039 filings (0.93× hist)2024-05-01: 1,143 filings (0.90× hist)2024-06-01: 1,179 filings (0.93× hist)2024-07-01: 1,240 filings (0.99× hist)2024-08-01: 1,375 filings (0.96× hist)2024-09-01: 1,252 filings (0.98× hist)2024-10-01: 1,265 filings (0.95× hist)2024-11-01: 1,114 filings (1.00× hist)2024-12-01: 1,145 filings (0.95× hist)2025-01-01: 1,283 filings (1.01× hist)2025-02-01: 1,009 filings (0.88× hist)2025-03-01: 958 filings (0.86× hist)2025-04-01: 1,015 filings (0.91× hist)2025-05-01: 966 filings (0.76× hist)2025-06-01: 1,010 filings (0.80× hist)2025-07-01: 1,100 filings (0.88× hist)2025-08-01: 1,078 filings (0.75× hist)2025-09-01: 1,219 filings (0.96× hist)2025-10-01: 1,114 filings (0.84× hist)2025-11-01: 981 filings (0.88× hist)2025-12-01: 1,046 filings (0.87× hist)2026-01-01: 1,127 filings (0.89× hist)2026-02-01: 1,026 filings (0.89× hist)2026-03-01: 968 filings (0.86× hist)2026-04-01: 1,016 filings (0.91× hist)
Filings climbed 5% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the absolute fastest I can get a tenant out for non-payment?

The absolute fastest would be after the 3-day pay-or-quit notice expires, then immediately filing in court. But even then, you're looking at court processing, a hearing, and then the writ. Expect it to be closer to the 71-day average, not 3 days.
Q2

Can I charge whatever I want for a security deposit in El Morro Valley?

No. New Mexico law caps security deposits at one month's rent. Don't try to charge more; it's illegal and can lead to penalties.
Q3

What if my tenant refuses to leave after the court orders them out?

You do not remove them yourself. You must coordinate with the sheriff or a designated law enforcement officer to execute the writ of restitution and physically remove the tenant and their belongings. This is the legal, proper procedure.
Q4

Is there rent control in El Morro Valley or New Mexico?

No, there is no statewide rent control in New Mexico. However, local ordinances can change, so always stay informed. Our New Mexico rent control rules page has the latest information.
Q5

Should I accept partial rent payments?

Generally, no. Accepting a partial payment can be seen as waiving your right to evict for that month's non-payment. If you do accept one, get a clear, written agreement stating it doesn't waive your eviction rights and that the full balance is still due. It's risky.
Q6

How do I find a good attorney for evictions in Cibola County?

Look for attorneys who specialize in landlord-tenant law, specifically representing landlords. Ask other landlords for referrals. Interview a few to find one who understands the local court procedures in Cibola County and is responsive.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.8/10 places El Morro Valley in the 3rd percentile of New Mexico cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.