Within neighborhood
80
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally
Parkside Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo
Tract 36029005202 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,911 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 36029005202 sits in the Parkside area of Buffalo eviction risk, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.3/10. Population here is 2,911. The severe-burden share is 53%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units871
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate39.1%
Median income$51,420
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Buffalo and the region
Centroid at 42.9246, -78.8488 · click any tract to drill in
Why Parkside scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
39.1% poverty · this tract
9.8
Supply constraint
$1,108 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
How Parkside compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 92%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Parkside. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.5%Housing insecurity
- 17.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.9%Food insecurity
- 30.6%SNAP enrollment
- 17.4%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 21.6%Frequent mental distress
- 30.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Parkside
Cost burden runs 73% here against 44.6% across Erie County. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.8/10. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points.
The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation runs 30.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 29.9% against 17.8% nationally.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.2/10.
Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Average gross rent is $1,108, close to the Buffalo average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $51,420.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029005202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029005202?
Census tract 36029005202 in the Parkside neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029005202?
Median gross rent is $1,108/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029005202?
39.1% of residents in tract 36029005202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,911.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029005202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 30th, minority 79th, housing 45th.
Q5
Is tract 36029005202 considered part of Parkside?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029005202 fall within Parkside (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36029005202 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36029005202 compare to Buffalo overall?
Tract 36029005202 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 36029005202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo
Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NY
Kaisertown
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Larkinville
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
East Side
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Kaisertown
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
East Side
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
RiverBend
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
36029002400
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NY
Fruit Belt
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Related