Census Tract · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Buffalo Eviction Risk: High

Tract 36029005700 · Erie County, NY · pop 3,289

Tract 36029005700 sits in Buffalo eviction risk, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.3/10. SNAP participation runs 40.6% against 15.2% nationally.

Risk score

9.3

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 37% Owners 33%

Tract context

Occupied units1,202

Renter share67.1%

SVI overall0.82

Poverty rate24.9%

Median income$42,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9497, -78.8993 · click any tract to drill in

Why Buffalo scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

24.9% poverty · this tract

6.2

Supply constraint

$877 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How Buffalo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

78%Socioeconomic
89%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
58%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
57%Grade B
11%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

29.7%Housing insecurity
20.1%Utility-shutoff threat
39.9%Food insecurity
40.6%SNAP enrollment
19.7%Transit barriers
16.7%No health insurance
21.3%Frequent mental distress
35.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Buffalo

The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 2.5 points above the Erie County average of 6.8.

The dominant input is local political climate at 8/10. This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 20.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

Average gross rent is $877, 16% below the Buffalo average. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.4/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029005700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029005700?

Census tract 36029005700 in Buffalo scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029005700?

Median gross rent is $877/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029005700?

24.9% of residents in tract 36029005700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,289.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029005700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 89th, minority 82th, housing 58th.

What share of households in tract 36029005700 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029005700 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029005700 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029005700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.