Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Eastchester Eviction Risk: High , New York

Tract 36005046209 · Bronx County, NY · pop 4,966 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 36005046209 covers part of the Eastchester area of New York, NY, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,966 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 56% Stable renters 25% Owners 19%

Tract context

Occupied units1,414

Renter share81.0%

SVI overall0.94

Poverty rate52.1%

Median income$27,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.8834, -73.8320 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastchester scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from New York

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.4

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

52.1% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$698 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from New York

6.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from New York

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from New York

7.1

How Eastchester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

87%Socioeconomic
94%Household composition
100%Racial/ethnic minority
77%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
100%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eastchester. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

38.7%Housing insecurity
25.3%Utility-shutoff threat
47.9%Food insecurity
48.2%SNAP enrollment
22.5%Transit barriers
14.1%No health insurance
19.3%Frequent mental distress
40.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastchester

At $698 a month, rents run 62% under what the rest of New York commands. Housing insecurity runs 38.7% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 52%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.8/10. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. Cost burden runs 69% here against 56.0% across Bronx County.

This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 25.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36005046209

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36005046209?

Census tract 36005046209 in the Eastchester neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36005046209?

Median gross rent is $698/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36005046209?

52.1% of residents in tract 36005046209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,966.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36005046209?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 94th, minority 100th, housing 77th.

Is tract 36005046209 considered part of Eastchester?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36005046209 fall within Eastchester (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36005046209 struggle to pay rent?

About 38.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36005046209 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36005046209 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36005046209 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.