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Barnum Island, New York eviction risk overview
City brief · 2,302 residents

Barnum Island, NY Eviction Risk: VERY HIGH

Nassau County · Population 2,302

In 2026
Risk score
8.5
VERY HIGH

89th percentile, New York.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min3.0 Average5.6 Now8.5
9.8 3.0 1976 · score 3.3 1977 · score 3.3 1978 · score 3.3 1979 · score 3.3 1980 · score 3.3 1981 · score 3.3 1982 · score 3.3 1983 · score 3.4 1984 · score 3.2 1985 · score 3.2 1986 · score 3.1 1987 · score 3.0 1988 · score 3.5 1989 · score 3.6 1990 · score 3.7 1991 · score 3.9 1992 · score 4.5 1993 · score 4.5 1994 · score 4.5 1995 · score 4.6 1996 · score 5.1 1997 · score 5.3 1998 · score 5.3 1999 · score 5.4 2000 · score 5.5 2001 · score 5.6 2002 · score 5.8 2003 · score 5.9 2004 · score 5.8 2005 · score 5.8 2006 · score 5.8 2007 · score 5.8 2008 · score 6.1 2009 · score 6.4 2010 · score 6.5 2011 · score 6.6 2012 · score 6.7 2013 · score 6.8 2014 · score 6.8 2015 · score 6.9 2016 · score 7.0 2017 · score 7.0 2018 · score 7.0 2019 · score 8.1 2020 · score 9.8 2021 · score 9.6 2022 · score 9.1 2023 · score 8.6 2024 · score 9.0 2025 · score 8.6 2026 · score 8.5

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.9 Regional 5.9 State 7.3 Economic 4.8 Supply 7.7 Rent Control 9.6 Eviction 7.0 Tenant 5.4 Housing 7.0 8.5 VERY HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +4.2% (2024)
    5.9
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.9
  3. State political climate
    New York legislature & governorship
    7.3
  4. Economic stress
    8.2% poverty · 3.2% unemp.
    4.8
  5. Supply constraint
    $3,500 average · 18.4% renters
    7.7
  6. Rent Control risk
    34.2% of income on rent
    9.6
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    408 days filing → judgment
    7.0
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    18.4% renters
    5.4
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    7.0
Geographic context

Risk heat across Barnum Island and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Barnum Island compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Nassau County
Elevated
#34 of 130 cities
Rank in county, 74th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 130 cities in Nassau County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New York
High
#147 of 1,285 cities
Rank in state, 89th percentileLowHigh
#147 of 1,285 cities in New York for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Barnum Island risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Barnum Island: 8.58.5Barnum IslandThis cityCounty: 8.58.5Countyavg in countyState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 8.5
    / 10 · VERY HIGH
    The verdict

    A Very high-tier market.

    Composite 8.5/10. Among the 10% riskiest markets nationally, with heavy tenant exposure, so every notice, hearing, and lease termination needs an attorney in the loop. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+5.2 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 408d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $3,500/mo. A contested eviction takes 408 days and costs $17,725–$36,512 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 18.4%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 2,302 residents, 18.4% rent. 34% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 8.2% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5.9
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.9 and 5.9 (GOP margin +4.2% (2024)). State climate at 7.3, a tenant-leaning legislature.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 7.3
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 7.3/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 7, housing court bias 7, rent-control risk 9.6. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +2.0 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.8
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.8. Supply constraint: 7.7. The numbers behind those: 8.2% poverty, 3.2% unemployment, 34% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Barnum Island sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Yonkers, NY · 381d · ~$27.5k all-in ($72/day) · score 9.9 Yonkers New Rochelle, NY · 429d · ~$27.9k all-in ($65/day) · score 9.5 New Rochelle Mount Vernon, NY · 398d · ~$29.6k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.5 Mount Vernon Brentwood, NY · 378d · ~$31.4k all-in ($83/day) · score 8.3 Brentwood White Plains, NY · 384d · ~$30.7k all-in ($80/day) · score 9.3 White Plains Hempstead, NY · 418d · ~$32.6k all-in ($78/day) · score 9.4 Hempstead Levittown, NY · 387d · ~$30.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.4 Levittown Buffalo, NY · 428d · ~$30.3k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.4 Buffalo Rochester, NY · 430d · ~$32.0k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.1 Rochester Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Barnum Island
Barnum Island · 408d · ~$27.1k all-in ($66/day) · score 8.5 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Barnum Island, NY

Landlording in Barnum Island, New York, presents one of the toughest environments for property owners in the nation. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.5/10 (VERY HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Among the toughest 10% of US markets where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Barnum Island is a city of 2,302 residents where 18.4% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 34.2% of income on rent. At an average rent of $3,500/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Barnum Island eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 7/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Barnum Island closes 408 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Barnum Island's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 7/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Barnum Island runs $17,725 to $36,512 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 408 days of typical timeline and $3,500/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 5.4/10 in Barnum Island, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (9.6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New York, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Barnum Island: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New York's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $36,512 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Barnum Island

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Compare Barnum Island to neighboring cities in Nassau County via the grid below. The 6.6/10 score is computed from nine sub-factors plus a state-law multiplier under HSTPA 2019 + Good Cause 2024. Nassau County 2020 presidential margin: D+9.5. Cross-reference the state overview link in the guides section for New York statutory detail.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the absolute fastest I can get a tenant out for non-payment in Barnum Island?

Honestly, there's no "fast." Even if everything goes perfectly, you're looking at months. The 14-day notice is just the start. After that, court scheduling, hearings, and a warrant of eviction all take time. Expect 2-3 months at best for a completely uncontested case, but the average is 408 days.
Q2

Can I charge a late fee if the rent is overdue?

Yes, New York law allows for late fees, but they are capped. You can charge a late fee of either $50 or 5% of the monthly rent, whichever is less. Make sure this is clearly stated in your lease agreement.
Q3

Do I need a lawyer for an eviction in Barnum Island?

While not legally required, it's highly, highly recommended. The New York eviction process is complex, and the courts are tenant-friendly. A small mistake can lead to your case being dismissed, costing you more time and money. Think of it as an investment to protect your property.
Q4

What if my tenant claims a hardship and asks for more time?

You can choose to grant an extension, but be very clear about the terms in writing. If you want to proceed with eviction, do not accept any partial rent payments after the 14-day notice period, as it can complicate or nullify your eviction action. Always get legal advice if you consider any deviation from the standard process.
Q5

Is rent control a risk in Barnum Island?

Barnum Island itself doesn't have local rent control. However, New York state has complex rent stabilization laws, and the state-level rent-control-risk sub-score is a high 9.6/10. While not directly applicable to most small, owner-operated rentals here, the political climate and tenant protections are strong. Stay informed on New York rent control rules.
Q6

What are "source of income" protections?

Statewide, New York has source-of-income protection. This means you cannot refuse to rent to someone solely because their income comes from a lawful source like Social Security, disability benefits, or housing vouchers (e.g., Section 8). You must evaluate them based on the same criteria as any other applicant, like credit score and rental history. Be aware of all New York tenant protections.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 8.5/10 places Barnum Island in the 89th percentile of New York cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.