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Mill Neck, New York eviction risk overview
City brief · 1,136 residents

Mill Neck, NY Eviction Risk: VERY HIGH

Nassau County · Population 1,136

In 2026
Risk score
8.9
VERY HIGH

97th percentile, New York.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min3.2 Average5.7 Now8.9
9.9 3.2 1976 · score 3.4 1977 · score 3.4 1978 · score 3.4 1979 · score 3.4 1980 · score 3.4 1981 · score 3.4 1982 · score 3.4 1983 · score 3.5 1984 · score 3.4 1985 · score 3.3 1986 · score 3.2 1987 · score 3.2 1988 · score 3.6 1989 · score 3.7 1990 · score 3.8 1991 · score 4.0 1992 · score 4.6 1993 · score 4.6 1994 · score 4.7 1995 · score 4.7 1996 · score 5.3 1997 · score 5.4 1998 · score 5.5 1999 · score 5.6 2000 · score 5.7 2001 · score 5.8 2002 · score 6.0 2003 · score 6.1 2004 · score 6.0 2005 · score 6.0 2006 · score 6.0 2007 · score 6.0 2008 · score 6.3 2009 · score 6.6 2010 · score 6.7 2011 · score 6.7 2012 · score 6.9 2013 · score 7.0 2014 · score 7.0 2015 · score 7.0 2016 · score 7.1 2017 · score 7.1 2018 · score 7.1 2019 · score 8.2 2020 · score 9.9 2021 · score 9.6 2022 · score 9.2 2023 · score 8.7 2024 · score 9.2 2025 · score 9.0 2026 · score 8.9

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.9 Regional 5.9 State 7.3 Economic 4.9 Supply 6.6 Rent Control 9.6 Eviction 6.7 Tenant 3.3 Housing 6.1 8.9 VERY HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +4.2% (2024)
    5.9
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.9
  3. State political climate
    New York legislature & governorship
    7.3
  4. Economic stress
    3.9% poverty · 5.8% unemp.
    4.9
  5. Supply constraint
    $3,501 average · 14.5% renters
    6.6
  6. Rent Control risk
    41.7% of income on rent
    9.6
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    429 days filing → judgment
    6.7
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    14.5% renters
    3.3
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    6.1
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mill Neck and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Mill Neck compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Nassau County
Very High
#13 of 130 cities
Rank in county, 91st percentileLowHigh
#13 of 130 cities in Nassau County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New York
Very High
#52 of 1,285 cities
Rank in state, 96th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 1,285 cities in New York for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Mill Neck risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Mill Neck: 8.98.9Mill NeckThis cityCounty: 8.58.5Countyavg in countyState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 8.9
    / 10 · VERY HIGH
    The verdict

    A Very high-tier market.

    Composite 8.9/10. Among the 10% riskiest markets nationally, with heavy tenant exposure, so every notice, hearing, and lease termination needs an attorney in the loop. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+5.5 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 429d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $3,501/mo. A contested eviction takes 429 days and costs $17,911–$40,795 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 14.5%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 1,136 residents, 14.5% rent. 42% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 3.9% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5.9
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.9 and 5.9 (GOP margin +4.2% (2024)). State climate at 7.3, a tenant-leaning legislature.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 7.3
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 7.3/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.7, housing court bias 6.1, rent-control risk 9.6. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.7 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.9
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.9. Supply constraint: 6.6. The numbers behind those: 3.9% poverty, 5.8% unemployment, 42% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Mill Neck sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Yonkers, NY · 381d · ~$27.5k all-in ($72/day) · score 9.9 Yonkers New Rochelle, NY · 429d · ~$27.9k all-in ($65/day) · score 9.5 New Rochelle Mount Vernon, NY · 398d · ~$29.6k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.5 Mount Vernon Brentwood, NY · 378d · ~$31.4k all-in ($83/day) · score 8.3 Brentwood White Plains, NY · 384d · ~$30.7k all-in ($80/day) · score 9.3 White Plains Hempstead, NY · 418d · ~$32.6k all-in ($78/day) · score 9.4 Hempstead Levittown, NY · 387d · ~$30.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.4 Levittown Buffalo, NY · 428d · ~$30.3k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.4 Buffalo Rochester, NY · 430d · ~$32.0k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.1 Rochester Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Mill Neck
Mill Neck · 429d · ~$29.4k all-in ($68/day) · score 8.9 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Mill Neck, NY

Landlording in Mill Neck, New York, presents one of the toughest environments for property owners in the nation. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.9/10 (VERY HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Among the toughest 10% of US markets where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Mill Neck is a city of 1,136 residents where 14.5% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 41.7% of income on rent. At an average rent of $3,501/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Mill Neck eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.7/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Mill Neck closes 429 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Mill Neck's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 6.1/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Mill Neck runs $17,911 to $40,795 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 429 days of typical timeline and $3,501/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 3.3/10 in Mill Neck, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (9.6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New York, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Mill Neck: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New York's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $40,795 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Mill Neck

Trap · 9.6/10
The 6.3/10 score weighs nine sub-factors including political climate, court bias, supply constraint, and tenant organizing strength. Mill Neck's rent-control-risk sub-score is 9.6/10, driven by demographic and political pressure for tenant relief.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I charge a late fee in Mill Neck?

Yes, New York law allows for late fees, but they are capped. You can only charge the lesser of $50 or 5% of the monthly rent. Make sure this is clearly stated in your lease agreement.

Q2

What if my tenant refuses to leave after the lease ends?

If your tenant holds over after their lease term expires, and you've properly served a non-renewal notice (if required), you would initiate a holdover eviction case. The process is similar to a non-payment eviction but focuses on the tenant's right to occupy the property rather than unpaid rent. Remember, there's no statewide just-cause, but court interpretations can be strict.

Q3

Do I need a lawyer for an eviction in Mill Neck?

While not legally required, it's highly recommended in New York. The process is complex, time-consuming, and heavily scrutinized by the courts. A small procedural error can cause significant delays and added costs. Given the 6.3/10 eviction risk score and 429-day average timeline, legal expertise can save you substantial money and stress.

Q4

Can I deny a tenant because they use a Section 8 voucher?

No. New York State has source-of-income protection. You cannot discriminate against a tenant solely because they receive lawful public assistance, including Section 8. You must treat them like any other applicant and screen them based on the same criteria (credit, background, rental history).

Q5

What if my tenant damages the property beyond normal wear and tear?

You can deduct the cost of repairs for damages beyond normal wear and tear from the security deposit. Remember the 14-day return deadline and the requirement to provide an itemized statement. Take detailed photos or videos before and after the tenancy to document the property's condition.

Q6

Is rent control a risk in Mill Neck?

While Mill Neck itself isn't under specific local rent control ordinances, the statewide rent-control-risk sub-score for New York is a very high 9.6/10. New York's Housing Stability and Tenant Protection Act of 2019 significantly strengthened tenant protections and effectively expanded rent stabilization in many areas. While Mill Neck may not be directly impacted by rent stabilization, the general legislative trend in New York is strongly tenant-favorable, and future changes could always affect smaller communities. Stay informed about New York rent control rules.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 8.9/10 places Mill Neck in the 97th percentile of New York cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.