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Neighborhood · Syracuse, NY

Elmwood Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 1,881 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10 · range 6.9–6.9

Elmwood is a black-white neighborhood in Syracuse with 1 census tract and a population of 1,881 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 29% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 21% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,021/month sits 2% lower than the Syracuse citywide average ($1,039).

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Elmwood vs Syracuse How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
28.9% -12%
Syracuse: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$1,021 -2%
Syracuse: $1,039
Average HH income
$70,000 +53%
Syracuse: $45,845
Poverty rate
13.5% -54%
Syracuse: 29.6%
Renter share
21.8% -63%
Syracuse: 58.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elmwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.9–6.9

Why Elmwood scores 6.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
29% of income on rent · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
22% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
13.5% below poverty line · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Risk score comparison

Elmwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Elmwood score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Elmwood: 6.96.9ElmwoodNeighborhoodParent city: 8.78.7Parent cityhost cityState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Elmwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36067005700 6.9 1,881 29% $1,021
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 62

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 57%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 80%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elmwood

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Elmwood

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Elmwood?

Elmwood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Elmwood compare to Syracuse overall?

Elmwood scores 1.8 points lower than Syracuse overall (8.7/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,021 vs $1,039.
Q3

What is the average rent in Elmwood?

Average gross rent in Elmwood is $1,021/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Elmwood residents are renters?

22% of Elmwood households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Syracuse). The neighborhood has 1,881 residents.
Q5

Is Elmwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Elmwood sits in the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Elmwood for landlords?

Elmwood carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Syracuse as a whole (8.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Elmwood?

Elmwood has 1,771 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (55.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.9%), Hispanic / Latino (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Elmwood

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Syracuse

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Elmwood.

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