3 census tracts · pop 6,693 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.1/10
· range 9.1–9.1
Southwest spans 3 census tracts of Syracuse, NY and houses 6,693 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 9.1/10, in the High tier. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 40.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
SNAP participation is 56.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 44%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 26% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Set annual rent against average household income of $26,309 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
At $745 a month, rents sit 28% under what the rest of Syracuse commands. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.8/10. Against a Syracuse baseline of 32.9%, 40% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
On the high side is economic stress at 7.2/10. Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10. Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Syracuse, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
With little internal variation, 9.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
9.1
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Southwest vs SyracuseHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority92%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport78%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Southwest
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
41.5%Housing insecurity
32.0%Utility shutoff threat
52.9%Food insecurity
58.6%SNAP enrollment
16.4%No health insurance
46.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Southwest
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Southwest?
Southwest scores 9.1/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Southwest compare to Syracuse overall?
Southwest scores 1.4 points higher than Syracuse overall (7.7/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $745 vs $1,039.
Q3
What is the average rent in Southwest?
Average gross rent in Southwest is $745/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Southwest residents are renters?
77% of Southwest households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Syracuse). The neighborhood has 6,693 residents.
Q5
Is Southwest a high social-vulnerability area?
Southwest sits in the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Southwest have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Southwest is census tract 36067004200 (score 9.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.1 to 9.1, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Southwest for landlords?
Southwest carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Syracuse as a whole (7.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Southwest?
Southwest has 6,546 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (69.7%), Hispanic / Latino (15.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (8.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
