Near Westside Eviction Risk: High

Against a Syracuse baseline of 32.9%, 61% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 52%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Food insecurity affects 52.6% of adults, 34.8 points above the national rate. Annualized rent equals 45% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.2/10.

19.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10.

At $918 a month, rents sit 12% under what the rest of Syracuse commands. Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Syracuse, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Westside and Brighton.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

With little internal variation, 9.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.