East Patchogue Eviction Risk: Elevated

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.

At $1,779 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of East Patchogue commands. SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.9/10. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $143,080, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.