Skip to content
Shirley, New York eviction risk overview
Ranked #435 of 1,865 nationally

Shirley, NY Eviction Risk: ELEVATED

Suffolk County · Population 28,375

In 2026
Risk score
6.5
ELEVATED

68th percentile, New York.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min5.1 Average5.9 Now6.5
7.6 5.1 1976 · score 5.2 1977 · score 5.1 1978 · score 5.1 1979 · score 5.4 1980 · score 5.4 1981 · score 5.4 1982 · score 5.6 1983 · score 5.7 1984 · score 5.7 1985 · score 5.7 1986 · score 5.8 1987 · score 5.7 1988 · score 5.8 1989 · score 5.9 1990 · score 5.9 1991 · score 6.0 1992 · score 6.1 1993 · score 6.1 1994 · score 6.0 1995 · score 5.9 1996 · score 5.9 1997 · score 6.0 1998 · score 5.9 1999 · score 5.9 2000 · score 5.9 2001 · score 5.8 2002 · score 5.8 2003 · score 5.8 2004 · score 5.7 2005 · score 5.7 2006 · score 5.7 2007 · score 5.8 2008 · score 5.8 2009 · score 5.9 2010 · score 5.9 2011 · score 5.9 2012 · score 5.9 2013 · score 5.9 2014 · score 5.8 2015 · score 5.8 2016 · score 5.9 2017 · score 5.9 2018 · score 5.9 2019 · score 6.5 2020 · score 7.3 2021 · score 7.6 2022 · score 6.7 2023 · score 6.5 2024 · score 6.6 2025 · score 6.6 2026 · score 6.5

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.5 Regional 5.5 State 7.3 Economic 6.1 Supply 6.1 Rent Control 9.6 Eviction 6.7 Tenant 2.7 Housing 7.0 6.5 ELEVATED
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +10.0% (2024)
    5.5
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.5
  3. State political climate
    New York legislature & governorship
    7.3
  4. Economic stress
    8.0% poverty · 7.0% unemp.
    6.1
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,056 average · 7.8% renters
    6.1
  6. Rent Control risk
    50%+ of income on rent
    9.6
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    416 days filing → judgment
    6.7
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    7.8% renters
    2.7
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    7.0
Geographic context

Risk heat across Shirley and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Shirley compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Suffolk County
Elevated
#61 of 148 cities
Rank in county, 59th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 148 cities in Suffolk County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New York
Elevated
#476 of 1,285 cities
Rank in state, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#476 of 1,285 cities in New York for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Shirley risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Shirley: 6.56.5ShirleyThis cityCounty: 6.46.4Countyavg in countyState: 8.38.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avg

New York landlord-tenant law

Eviction rules are set at the state level. These are the New York statutes, timelines and dollar figures that govern every property on this page.

Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 6.5
    / 10 · ELEVATED
    The verdict

    A Elevated-tier market.

    Composite 6.5/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+1.3 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 416d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,056/mo. A contested eviction takes 416 days and costs $18,496–$38,350 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026
  3. 7.8%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 28,375 residents, 7.8% rent. 50%+ are spending 30%+ income on rent, 8.0% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026
  4. 5.5
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.5 and 5.5 (GOP margin +10.0% (2024)). State climate at 7.3, a tenant-leaning legislature.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 7.3
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 7.3/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.7, housing court bias 7, rent-control risk 9.6. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.7 since '00
    197620012026
  6. 6.1
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 6.1. Supply constraint: 6.1. The numbers behind those: 8.0% poverty, 7.0% unemployment, 51% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Shirley sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) New Rochelle, NY · 429d · ~$27.9k all-in ($65/day) · score 8.1 New Rochelle Brentwood, NY · 378d · ~$31.4k all-in ($83/day) · score 5.9 Brentwood White Plains, NY · 384d · ~$30.7k all-in ($80/day) · score 9 White Plains Hempstead, NY · 418d · ~$32.6k all-in ($78/day) · score 8.6 Hempstead Levittown, NY · 387d · ~$30.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Levittown New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.6 New York Buffalo, NY · 428d · ~$30.3k all-in ($71/day) · score 7.9 Buffalo Yonkers, NY · 381d · ~$27.5k all-in ($72/day) · score 9.4 Yonkers Rochester, NY · 430d · ~$32.0k all-in ($74/day) · score 8.1 Rochester Syracuse, NY · 383d · ~$30.9k all-in ($81/day) · score 7.7 Syracuse Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.6 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.3 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.7 Chicago Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Shirley
Shirley · 416d · ~$28.4k all-in ($68/day) · score 6.5 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Shirley, NY

Landlording in Shirley, New York, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.5/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Shirley is a city of 28,375 residents where 7.8% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 51.0% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,056/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Shirley eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.7/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Shirley closes 416 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Shirley's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 7/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Shirley runs $18,496 to $38,350 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 416 days of typical timeline and $2,056/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 2.7/10 in Shirley, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (9.6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New York, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Shirley: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New York's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $38,350 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Shirley

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
For landlords, the 6.5/10 score is most actionable when combined with Suffolk County's specific court behavior. Housing-court bias sub-score: 7/10. Use proactive screening and documented notices.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What is the biggest risk for landlords in Shirley, NY?

The biggest risk is the extremely long eviction timeline (416 days) and high costs ($18,496, $38,350). This means a single eviction can wipe out a year or more of profits, making proactive screening and quick action on non-payment crucial.
Q2

Can I refuse to renew a lease in Shirley, NY?

Yes, New York does not have statewide just-cause eviction requirements for non-renewal of leases, allowing you to generally decline to renew a lease without providing a specific reason, as long as you give proper notice (30 days) and don't violate fair housing laws or retaliate.
Q3

How much can I charge for a security deposit in Shirley?

You are limited to charging a maximum of one month's rent for a security deposit in Shirley, NY. This is a statewide cap.
Q4

Are there any rent control rules in Shirley?

Shirley, NY does not currently have local rent control ordinances. However, New York state has very strong tenant protections, and the "rent-control-risk" sub-score for Shirley is 9.6/10, indicating a high potential for future rent control measures or related restrictions. Stay informed on New York rent control rules.
Q5

What should I do if my tenant stops paying rent?

Serve a 14-day pay-or-quit notice immediately after the grace period. If they don't pay or move, contact a landlord-tenant attorney to initiate court proceedings. Do not try to handle the court process yourself in New York. Consider cash for keys as a faster, cheaper alternative to a drawn-out eviction.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 6.5/10 places Shirley in the 68th percentile of New York cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.