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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

River Arts District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Asheville

Tract 37021000900 · Buncombe County, NC · pop 2,971 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 37021000900 (River Arts District in Asheville, North Carolina) comes in at 6.2/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 80% of US census tracts.

47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $388 a month while the average household earns $30,653 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 68% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 36% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,284
Renter share67.7%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate38.4%
Median income$30,653

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In River Arts District
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 31 tracts In Asheville
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 65 tracts In Buncombe County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Asheville and the region

Centroid at 35.5787, -82.5583 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Arts District scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Asheville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
38.4% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$388 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Asheville
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Asheville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Asheville
4.0

How River Arts District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
River Arts District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.16.1This tracttract 000900Asheville: 3.43.4Ashevilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,549Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 36.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 44.7%Peak (2007)
  • 236Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370210009002002: 384 filings (51.06/100 renter HHs)2003: 424 filings (56.38/100 renter HHs)2004: 420 filings (55.85/100 renter HHs)2005: 412 filings (42.15/100 renter HHs)2006: 382 filings (39.08/100 renter HHs)2007: 437 filings (44.71/100 renter HHs)2008: 355 filings (36.32/100 renter HHs)2009: 216 filings (22.10/100 renter HHs)2010: 125 filings (13.60/100 renter HHs)2011: 158 filings (17.32/100 renter HHs)2013: 236 filings (25.88/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 39% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Arts District

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Asheville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Buncombe County average of 5.4 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3,549 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 36.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 44.7% of renter households in 2007.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 37021000900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37021000900?

Census tract 37021000900 in the River Arts District neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37021000900?

Median gross rent is $388/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37021000900?

38.4% of residents in tract 37021000900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,971.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37021000900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 41th, minority 66th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 37021000900 considered part of River Arts District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37021000900 fall within River Arts District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37021000900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,549 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37021000900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 36.77% of renter households, peaking at 44.7% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37021000900 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37021000900 compare to Asheville overall?

Tract 37021000900 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Asheville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Asheville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 37021000900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 40% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Asheville

Top eight tracts in Asheville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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