Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Murphy Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate , Asheville
Tract 37021000200 · Buncombe County, NC · pop 1,352 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 37021000200 runs through the Murphy Junction area of Asheville. With 1,352 residents, it scores 5.9/10 for landlords. It lands near the 71st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
65% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $974 a month while the average household earns $54,167 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units696
Renter share55.5%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate25.2%
Median income$54,167
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Asheville and the region
Centroid at 35.5971, -82.5667 · click any tract to drill in
Why Murphy Junction scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Asheville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
25.2% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$974 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Asheville
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Asheville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Asheville
4.0
How Murphy Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 36%Grade C
- 47%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 924Total filings over 11 yrs
- 23.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 63.3%Peak (2008)
- 107Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 664% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Murphy Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.6%Food insecurity
- 14.3%SNAP enrollment
- 9.1%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 28.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Murphy Junction
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Asheville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Buncombe County average of 5.4 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37021000200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37021000200?
Census tract 37021000200 in the Murphy Junction neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37021000200?
Median gross rent is $974/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37021000200?
25.2% of residents in tract 37021000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,352.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37021000200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 30th, minority 54th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 37021000200 considered part of Murphy Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37021000200 fall within Murphy Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37021000200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 924 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37021000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.28% of renter households, peaking at 63.3% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37021000200 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37021000200 compare to Asheville overall?
Tract 37021000200 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Asheville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Asheville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 37021000200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 47% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Asheville
Top eight tracts in Asheville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
River Arts District
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
South Slope
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Montford Hills
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Bingham Heights
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Deaver View
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Linwood Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37021002506
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Murphy Junction
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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