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Census Tract · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Asheville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37021002506 · Buncombe County, NC · pop 3,653 · 40% of tract blocks fall in Asheville

37021002506 is a census tract in Asheville, NC. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,653. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 31% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,270
Renter share54.6%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate20.2%
Median income$48,529

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 31 tracts In Asheville
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 65 tracts In Buncombe County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#150 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
National
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#23,808 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Asheville and the region

Centroid at 35.5870, -82.6513 · click any tract to drill in

Why Asheville scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Asheville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
20.2% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$940 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Asheville
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Asheville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Asheville
4.0

How Asheville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Asheville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 0025064.1Ashevilleparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 532Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 10.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.0%Peak (2003)
  • 40Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 37021002506
Filings climbed 33% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Asheville

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.2/10. Average gross rent is $940, 33% below the Asheville average.

Against the Buncombe County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10.

The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 532 filings here across 11 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2003, when 19.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Asheville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 10.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.8/10.

Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 37021002506

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37021002506?

Census tract 37021002506 in Asheville scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37021002506?

Median gross rent is $940/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37021002506?

20.2% of residents in tract 37021002506 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,653.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37021002506?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 48th, minority 35th, housing 44th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37021002506?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 532 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37021002506 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.94% of renter households, peaking at 19.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37021002506 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37021002506 compare to Asheville overall?

Tract 37021002506 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Asheville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Asheville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 37021002506 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Asheville

Top eight tracts in Asheville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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