Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Asheville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37021002506 · Buncombe County, NC · pop 3,653 · 40% of tract blocks fall in Asheville
Here is how census tract 37021002506, in Asheville eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.6/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,653. It lands near the 60th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
44% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $940 a month against an average household income of $48,529 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,270
Renter share54.6%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate20.2%
Median income$48,529
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
National
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Asheville and the region
Centroid at 35.5870, -82.6513 · click any tract to drill in
Why Asheville scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Asheville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
20.2% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$940 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Asheville
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Asheville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Asheville
4.0
How Asheville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 532Total filings over 11 yrs
- 10.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.0%Peak (2003)
- 40Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.0%Food insecurity
- 18.6%SNAP enrollment
- 10.8%Transit barriers
- 13.1%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Asheville
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Asheville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Buncombe County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 532 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 10.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 19.0% of renter households in 2003.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37021002506
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37021002506?
Census tract 37021002506 in Asheville scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37021002506?
Median gross rent is $940/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37021002506?
20.2% of residents in tract 37021002506 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,653.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37021002506?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 48th, minority 35th, housing 44th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37021002506?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 532 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37021002506 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.94% of renter households, peaking at 19.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 37021002506 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37021002506 compare to Asheville overall?
Tract 37021002506 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Asheville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Asheville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 37021002506 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Asheville
Top eight tracts in Asheville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
River Arts District
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
South Slope
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Montford Hills
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Bingham Heights
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Deaver View
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Murphy Junction
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Linwood Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Murphy Junction
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Related