Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Happy Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Asheville
Tract 37021001801 · Buncombe County, NC · pop 3,389 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 37021001801 in the Happy Valley area of Asheville, NC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,389. Against Buncombe County at 46.9%, 66% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,781
Renter share63.8%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate19.0%
Median income$51,936
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Asheville and the region
Centroid at 35.6122, -82.5226 · click any tract to drill in
Why Happy Valley scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Asheville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
19.0% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,012 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Asheville
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Asheville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Asheville
4.0
How Happy Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 451Total filings over 11 yrs
- 4.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2003)
- 23Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 58% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.5%Food insecurity
- 12.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 36.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Happy Valley
The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.7/10.
Average gross rent is $1,012, 28% below the Asheville average. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Buncombe County average of 4.1.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 451 filings here across 11 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2003, when 6.4% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Asheville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37021001801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37021001801?
Census tract 37021001801 in the Happy Valley neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37021001801?
Median gross rent is $1,012/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37021001801?
19.0% of residents in tract 37021001801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,389.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37021001801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 47th, minority 39th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 37021001801 considered part of Happy Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37021001801 fall within Happy Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37021001801?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 451 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37021001801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.55% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37021001801 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37021001801 compare to Asheville overall?
Tract 37021001801 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Asheville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Asheville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 37021001801 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Asheville
Top eight tracts in Asheville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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River Arts District
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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37021002506
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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Deaver View
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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Bingham Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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South Slope
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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Murphy Junction
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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Montford Hills
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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Linwood Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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