Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37051002503 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 4,335 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Fayetteville

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 37051002503 in Fayetteville ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,335 residents. On the national scale it ranks #39,917 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,153 a month against an average household income of $55,950 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 20% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,209
Renter share38.8%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$55,950

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 58 tracts In Fayetteville
Elevated
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 81 tracts In Cumberland County
Elevated
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#576 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
National
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#28,017 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 35.1359, -78.8847 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fayetteville scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,153 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0

How Fayetteville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fayetteville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 002503Fayetteville: 3.03.0Fayettevilleparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,775Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 10.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.9%Peak (2015)
  • 130Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370510025032002: 124 filings (16.47/100 renter HHs)2003: 114 filings (15.14/100 renter HHs)2005: 84 filings (7.45/100 renter HHs)2006: 90 filings (7.98/100 renter HHs)2007: 86 filings (7.62/100 renter HHs)2008: 130 filings (11.52/100 renter HHs)2009: 117 filings (10.37/100 renter HHs)2010: 127 filings (12.62/100 renter HHs)2011: 119 filings (11.95/100 renter HHs)2012: 96 filings (9.64/100 renter HHs)2013: 68 filings (6.83/100 renter HHs)2014: 118 filings (11.85/100 renter HHs)2015: 158 filings (15.86/100 renter HHs)2016: 132 filings (11.74/100 renter HHs)2017: 82 filings (7.30/100 renter HHs)2018: 130 filings (11.57/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051002503

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051002503?

Census tract 37051002503 in Fayetteville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37051002503?

Median gross rent is $1,153/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051002503?

18.5% of residents in tract 37051002503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,335.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051002503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 46th, minority 64th, housing 59th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37051002503?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,775 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37051002503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.99% of renter households, peaking at 15.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37051002503 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37051002503 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051002503 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related