Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37051003209 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 4,265 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Fayetteville

Census tract 37051003209 covers Fayetteville, home to 4,265 residents. For landlords it grades 5.1/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,391 a month while the average household earns $64,250 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 34% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 20% Owners 66%

Tract context

Occupied units1,528

Renter share33.6%

SVI overall0.64

Poverty rate11.2%

Median income$64,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 35.0124, -78.9938 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fayetteville scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fayetteville

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

11.2% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$1,391 rent vs county FMR

6.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fayetteville

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fayetteville

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fayetteville

3.0

How Fayetteville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

61%Socioeconomic
89%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
30%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.8%Housing insecurity
11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
20.3%Food insecurity
17.3%SNAP enrollment
10.9%Transit barriers
11.0%No health insurance
18.5%Frequent mental distress
34.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051003209

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051003209?

Census tract 37051003209 in Fayetteville scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37051003209?

Median gross rent is $1,391/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051003209?

11.2% of residents in tract 37051003209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,265.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051003209?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 89th, minority 69th, housing 30th.

What share of households in tract 37051003209 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37051003209 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051003209 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.