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Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37051002504 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 7,854 · 53% of tract blocks fall in Fayetteville

Fayetteville in Cumberland County is where census tract 37051002504 sits, home to 7,854 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is $1/10. That is riskier than about 38% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 38% of renter households, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,130 a month while the average household earns $77,742 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 26% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units3,026
Renter share41.6%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$77,742

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#45 of 58 tracts In Fayetteville
Low
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#56 of 81 tracts In Cumberland County
Low
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#1,055 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Elevated
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,389 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 35.1589, -78.8988 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fayetteville scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,130 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0

How Fayetteville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fayetteville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 002504Fayetteville: 3.03.0Fayettevilleparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,197Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 22.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 42.6%Peak (2009)
  • 152Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370510025042002: 210 filings (27.22/100 renter HHs)2003: 208 filings (26.96/100 renter HHs)2005: 251 filings (31.91/100 renter HHs)2006: 259 filings (32.92/100 renter HHs)2007: 273 filings (34.70/100 renter HHs)2008: 325 filings (41.31/100 renter HHs)2009: 335 filings (42.58/100 renter HHs)2010: 228 filings (28.43/100 renter HHs)2011: 140 filings (13.27/100 renter HHs)2012: 103 filings (9.76/100 renter HHs)2013: 135 filings (12.80/100 renter HHs)2014: 180 filings (17.06/100 renter HHs)2015: 157 filings (14.88/100 renter HHs)2016: 124 filings (10.07/100 renter HHs)2017: 117 filings (9.50/100 renter HHs)2018: 152 filings (12.35/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 4.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051002504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051002504?

Census tract 37051002504 in Fayetteville scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37051002504?

Median gross rent is $1,130/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051002504?

15.2% of residents in tract 37051002504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,854.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051002504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 84th, minority 70th, housing 63th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37051002504?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,197 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37051002504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.86% of renter households, peaking at 42.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37051002504 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37051002504 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051002504 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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