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Census Tract · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37051003307 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 3,648

Census tract 37051003307 covers Fayetteville in Cumberland County, home to 3,648 residents. For landlords it grades 5.3/10, a moderate reading. On the national scale it ranks #43,004 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,142 a month while the average household earns $65,159 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 26% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,427
Renter share49.0%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$65,159

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 58 tracts In Fayetteville
Moderate
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 81 tracts In Cumberland County
Moderate
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#689 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Elevated
National
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#31,159 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 35.0510, -79.0220 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fayetteville scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,142 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0

How Fayetteville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fayetteville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 003307Fayetteville: 3.03.0Fayettevilleparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,878Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 17.88%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.7%Peak (2008)
  • 75Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370510033072002: 109 filings (33.05/100 renter HHs)2003: 112 filings (33.96/100 renter HHs)2005: 81 filings (11.39/100 renter HHs)2006: 115 filings (16.18/100 renter HHs)2007: 136 filings (19.13/100 renter HHs)2008: 154 filings (21.66/100 renter HHs)2009: 123 filings (17.30/100 renter HHs)2010: 140 filings (17.35/100 renter HHs)2011: 143 filings (18.67/100 renter HHs)2012: 110 filings (14.36/100 renter HHs)2013: 89 filings (11.62/100 renter HHs)2014: 123 filings (16.06/100 renter HHs)2015: 116 filings (15.14/100 renter HHs)2016: 131 filings (16.11/100 renter HHs)2017: 121 filings (14.88/100 renter HHs)2018: 75 filings (9.23/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,878 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 17.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 21.7% of renter households in 2008.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051003307

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051003307?

Census tract 37051003307 in Fayetteville scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37051003307?

Median gross rent is $1,142/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051003307?

17.5% of residents in tract 37051003307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,648.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051003307?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 86th, minority 87th, housing 82th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37051003307?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,878 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37051003307 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.88% of renter households, peaking at 21.7% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37051003307 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37051003307 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051003307 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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