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Neighborhood · Wilmington, NC

Shinnwood West Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 8,484 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3–5.4

Shinnwood West spans 3 census tracts of Wilmington, NC, population 8,484. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.6/10, Lower tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Against a Wilmington baseline of 33.7%, 45% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 5.4, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.4/10.

Severe burden reaches 13%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.8/10. SNAP participation is 6.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 8.8% of adults, 9.0 points below the national rate. Average gross rent is $1,235, 11% below the Wilmington average of $1,395. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a like-for-like read, Seahawk Village and University Suites score within a fraction of it. Against average income of $105,181, annual rent is only 14%, a wide affordability cushion.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Shinnwood West vs Wilmington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.8% +33%
Wilmington: 33.7%
Average gross rent
$1,235 -11%
Wilmington: $1,395
Average HH income
$105,181 +65%
Wilmington: $63,900
Poverty rate
9.7% -40%
Wilmington: 16.3%
Renter share
21.0% -60%
Wilmington: 52.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shinnwood West and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–5.4

Why Shinnwood West scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
21% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
9.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–6.2 across tracts
2.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–3.0 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Shinnwood West vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Shinnwood West score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.6Shinnwood WestNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Shinnwood West?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.4 points from 3 to 5.4. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Shinnwood West

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37129011905 5.4 2,163 79% $1,159
37129012011 3 4,280 31% $1,269
37129012012 3 2,041 37% $1,246
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 27

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 35%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 51%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 18%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 18%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Shinnwood West

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Shinnwood West

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Shinnwood West?

Shinnwood West scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Shinnwood West compare to Wilmington overall?

Shinnwood West scores 0.4 points lower than Wilmington overall (4/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,235 vs $1,395.
Q3

What is the average rent in Shinnwood West?

Average gross rent in Shinnwood West is $1,235/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Shinnwood West residents are renters?

21% of Shinnwood West households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Wilmington). The neighborhood has 8,484 residents.
Q5

Is Shinnwood West a high social-vulnerability area?

Shinnwood West sits in the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Shinnwood West have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Shinnwood West is census tract 37129011905 (score 5.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.4, a spread of 2.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Shinnwood West for landlords?

Shinnwood West carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Wilmington as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Shinnwood West?

Shinnwood West has 9,113 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (81.1%), Hispanic / Latino (12.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shinnwood West

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Wilmington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shinnwood West.

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