Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Shinnwood West Eviction Risk: Lower , Wilmington

Tract 37129012011 · New Hanover County, NC · pop 4,280 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 37129012011, home to 4,280 residents in the Shinnwood West neighborhood of Wilmington, scores 4.3/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 18% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 31% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,269 a month against an average household income of $93,715 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.1

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 10% Owners 85%

Tract context

Occupied units1,937

Renter share14.6%

SVI overall0.41

Poverty rate4.1%

Median income$93,715

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilmington and the region

Centroid at 34.2023, -77.8633 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shinnwood West scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Wilmington

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

4.1% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,269 rent vs county FMR

3.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Wilmington

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Wilmington

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Wilmington

3.5

How Shinnwood West compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

35%Socioeconomic
82%Household composition
31%Racial/ethnic minority
27%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Shinnwood West. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.1%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
8.9%Food insecurity
6.0%SNAP enrollment
5.5%Transit barriers
9.4%No health insurance
14.7%Frequent mental distress
26.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shinnwood West

What moves this score most is housing court bias at 3.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the New Hanover County average of 5.2 and below the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37129012011

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37129012011?

Census tract 37129012011 in the Shinnwood West neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37129012011?

Median gross rent is $1,269/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37129012011?

4.1% of residents in tract 37129012011 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,280.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37129012011?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 82th, minority 31th, housing 27th.

Is tract 37129012011 considered part of Shinnwood West?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37129012011 fall within Shinnwood West (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 37129012011 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37129012011 compare to Wilmington overall?

Tract 37129012011 scores 3.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Wilmington at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington

Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.