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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Shinnwood West Eviction Risk: Lower , Wilmington

Tract 37129012012 · New Hanover County, NC · pop 2,041 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

37129012012 is a census tract in the Shinnwood West area of Wilmington, NC. It scores 3/10 for landlords. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 5% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units892
Renter share7.3%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$195,859

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Shinnwood West
Very Low
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 32 tracts In Wilmington
Very Low
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 54 tracts In New Hanover County
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#1,927 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilmington and the region

Centroid at 34.2012, -77.8351 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shinnwood West scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,246 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
3.5

How Shinnwood West compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shinnwood West risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0120124.0Wilmingtonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Shinnwood West. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shinnwood West

37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the New Hanover County average of 48.2%. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8/10.

SNAP participation runs 3.6% against 15.2% nationally. Against the New Hanover County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $1,246 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Wilmington commands. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $195,859, annual rent is just 8%. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 37129012012

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37129012012?

Census tract 37129012012 in the Shinnwood West neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37129012012?

Median gross rent is $1,246/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37129012012?

5.4% of residents in tract 37129012012 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,041.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37129012012?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 10th, minority 4th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 37129012012 considered part of Shinnwood West?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37129012012 fall within Shinnwood West (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 37129012012 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37129012012 compare to Wilmington overall?

Tract 37129012012 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Wilmington at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington

Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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