Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Shinnwood West Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wilmington
Tract 37129011905 · New Hanover County, NC · pop 2,163 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 37129011905 covers part of the Shinnwood West area of Wilmington, NC, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,163 residents. 79% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the New Hanover County average of 48.2%.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,060
Renter share46.4%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate24.8%
Median income$42,305
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wilmington and the region
Centroid at 34.2124, -77.8520 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shinnwood West scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
24.8% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,159 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
3.5
How Shinnwood West compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 5%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shinnwood West. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.2%Food insecurity
- 9.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.8%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 29.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shinnwood West
The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $42,305 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
It sits 1.4 points above the New Hanover County average of 4.0. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
Average gross rent is $1,159, 17% below the Wilmington average. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.2/10.
Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37129011905
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37129011905?
Census tract 37129011905 in the Shinnwood West neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37129011905?
Median gross rent is $1,159/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37129011905?
24.8% of residents in tract 37129011905 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,163.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37129011905?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 29th, minority 5th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 37129011905 considered part of Shinnwood West?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37129011905 fall within Shinnwood West (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37129011905 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37129011905 compare to Wilmington overall?
Tract 37129011905 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Wilmington at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington
Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
37129011400
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37129010100
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Seahawk Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37129010200
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Seahawk Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
University Suites
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
University Suites
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37129010504
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related