Neighborhood · Chapel Hill, NC

Rogerson Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,536 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.6–3.6

Rogerson is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Chapel Hill with 1 census tract and a population of 2,536 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 57% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,261/month sits 22% lower than the Chapel Hill citywide average ($1,613).

Risk score

3.6

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Rogerson vs Chapel Hill How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

56.9% +58%

Chapel Hill: 36.0%

Average gross rent

$1,261 -22%

Chapel Hill: $1,613

Average HH income

$80,556 -6%

Chapel Hill: $85,825

Poverty rate

4.6% -77%

Chapel Hill: 19.6%

Renter share

42.7% -19%

Chapel Hill: 52.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rogerson and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.6–3.6

Why Rogerson scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

57% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

43% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Economic stress

4.6% below poverty line · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts

1.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts

1.7

Risk score comparison

Rogerson vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Rogerson

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37135012103	3.6	2,536	57%	$1,261

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 23

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 32%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 18%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rogerson

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.0%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility shutoff threat
6.9%Food insecurity
4.3%SNAP enrollment
5.9%No health insurance
22.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Rogerson

What is the eviction-risk score for Rogerson?

Rogerson scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Rogerson compare to Chapel Hill overall?

Rogerson scores 0.2 points higher than Chapel Hill overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,261 vs $1,613.

What is the average rent in Rogerson?

Average gross rent in Rogerson is $1,261/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Rogerson residents are renters?

43% of Rogerson households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Chapel Hill). The neighborhood has 2,536 residents.

Is Rogerson a high social-vulnerability area?

Rogerson sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Rogerson for landlords?

Rogerson carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chapel Hill as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Rogerson?

Rogerson has 2,698 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rogerson

2.6 Havenstone 2 tracts · pop 5,237

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chapel Hill

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rogerson.

3.7 Clark Hills 1 tracts · pop 4,572 3.5 SpringCrest 1 tracts · pop 3,640 3.5 Glendale 1 tracts · pop 2,042 3.5 Highgrove 1 tracts · pop 4,391 3.4 Northwood 1 tracts · pop 4,375 3.3 North Forest Hills 1 tracts · pop 1,974

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