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Neighborhood · Morrisville, NC

Providence Place Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 8,647 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Providence Place is a one-tract neighborhood of Morrisville, NC and houses 8,647 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. 14% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. 27% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Morrisville rate of 21.6%.

Court records for this tract carry 41 eviction filings. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.6/10.

Food insecurity affects 6.7% of adults, 11.1 points below the national rate. 3.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The voucher gap is 13.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 4.7% of renter households. Average gross rent is $2,006, 8% above the Morrisville average of $1,858.

Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Morrisville, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Providence Place vs Morrisville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
26.6% +23%
Morrisville: 21.6%
Average gross rent
$2,006 +8%
Morrisville: $1,858
Average HH income
$146,356 +17%
Morrisville: $125,404
Poverty rate
2.1% -56%
Morrisville: 4.8%
Renter share
28.4% -48%
Morrisville: 54.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence Place and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Providence Place scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Rent control risk
27% of income on rent · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
28% renter households · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts
9.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
2.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Risk score comparison

Providence Place vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Providence Place score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Providence PlaceNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Providence Place

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37183053608 3 8,647 27% $2,006
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 23%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 27%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 15%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Providence Place

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 41Total filings (sum)
  • 3.37%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 4.65%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Providence Place

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Providence Place

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Providence Place?

Providence Place scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Providence Place compare to Morrisville overall?

Providence Place scores 1.3 points lower than Morrisville overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 27% of income on rent vs 22% citywide. Average rent: $2,006 vs $1,858.
Q3

What is the average rent in Providence Place?

Average gross rent in Providence Place is $2,006/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Providence Place residents are renters?

28% of Providence Place households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in Morrisville). The neighborhood has 8,647 residents.
Q5

Is Providence Place a high social-vulnerability area?

Providence Place sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Providence Place for landlords?

Providence Place carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Morrisville as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Providence Place?

Providence Place has 7,980 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (54.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Providence Place

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Morrisville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Providence Place.

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