College Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 48%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Severe burden reaches 34%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is a renter market: 84% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.3/10. Average gross rent is $1,115, 29% below the Raleigh average of $1,572.

Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. The filing record is not thin: 87 evictions logged in this tract. Food insecurity affects 27.3% of adults, 9.5 points above the national rate.

The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 11.3% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 7.1% in 2016 against a 11.3% peak.

One tract means one number: 5.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.