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Neighborhood · Raleigh, NC

Trails Corner Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,740 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Trails Corner is a one-tract neighborhood of Raleigh, NC and houses 3,740 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 62% against 30.9% citywide, putting Trails Corner 30.8% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 29%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.3/10. Average gross rent is $1,102, 30% below the Raleigh average of $1,572.

This is a renter market: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 25.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 31.9% of adults, 14.1 points above the national rate. The filing record is not thin: 262 evictions logged in this tract.

Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 17.5% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 16.1% in 2016 against a 17.5% peak.

One tract means one number: 5.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Trails Corner vs Raleigh How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.7% +100%
Raleigh: 30.9%
Average gross rent
$1,102 -30%
Raleigh: $1,572
Average HH income
$42,156 -49%
Raleigh: $82,424
Poverty rate
23.9% +109%
Raleigh: 11.4%
Renter share
71.4% +45%
Raleigh: 49.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Trails Corner and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Trails Corner scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
71% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
23.9% below poverty line · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Risk score comparison

Trails Corner vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Trails Corner score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.5Trails CornerNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Trails Corner

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37183050800 5.5 3,740 62% $1,102
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 96

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 98%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 56%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 96%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Trails Corner

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 262Total filings (sum)
  • 16.79%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.5%Peak year (2015)
  • 16.10%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Trails Corner

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Trails Corner

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Trails Corner?

Trails Corner scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Trails Corner compare to Raleigh overall?

Trails Corner scores 1.4 points higher than Raleigh overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,102 vs $1,572.
Q3

What is the average rent in Trails Corner?

Average gross rent in Trails Corner is $1,102/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Trails Corner residents are renters?

71% of Trails Corner households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Raleigh). The neighborhood has 3,740 residents.
Q5

Is Trails Corner a high social-vulnerability area?

Trails Corner sits in the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Trails Corner for landlords?

Trails Corner carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Raleigh as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Trails Corner?

Trails Corner has 4,006 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (40.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (33.9%), Hispanic / Latino (14.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Trails Corner

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Raleigh

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Trails Corner.

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