Greenpark Towns Eviction Risk: Moderate

34% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. 82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.9/10. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. At $1,214 a month, rents sit 23% under what the rest of Raleigh commands.

18.2% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. 22.9% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. The filing record is not thin: 791 evictions logged in this tract.

The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 19.4% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 21.1% in 2016 against a 19.4% peak. Among the 107 mapped neighborhoods of Raleigh, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

One tract means one number: 5.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.