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Neighborhood · Fargo, ND

East Main Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,968 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.8–3.8

East Main maps to a single census tract in Fargo, ND, population 2,968. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.8/10, Lower tier. 40% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Fargo rate of 26.3%.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10.

On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 13%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Among the 25 mapped neighborhoods of Fargo, it ranks #11 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, Westgate and Jefferson/Carl Ben score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Against average income of $56,510, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion. Average gross rent runs $898, close to the Fargo average.

One tract means one number: 3.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
East Main vs Fargo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.6% +51%
Fargo: 26.3%
Average gross rent
$898 -5%
Fargo: $946
Average HH income
$56,510
Fargo: $0
Poverty rate
9.1% -29%
Fargo: 12.8%
Renter share
73.8% +31%
Fargo: 56.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East Main and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.8–3.8

Why East Main scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
74% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Economic stress
9.1% below poverty line · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

East Main vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

East Main score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.8East MainNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in East Main

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
38017010107 3.8 2,968 40% $898
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 82

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 51%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 64%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 100%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in East Main

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About East Main

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for East Main?

East Main scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does East Main compare to Fargo overall?

East Main scores 0.6 points higher than Fargo overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Average rent: $898 vs $946.
Q3

What is the average rent in East Main?

Average gross rent in East Main is $898/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of East Main residents are renters?

74% of East Main households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Fargo). The neighborhood has 2,968 residents.
Q5

Is East Main a high social-vulnerability area?

East Main sits in the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is East Main for landlords?

East Main carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fargo as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of East Main?

East Main has 2,937 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.3%), Hispanic / Latino (9.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near East Main

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fargo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to East Main.

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