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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

East Main Eviction Risk: Lower , Fargo

Tract 38017010107 · Cass County, ND · pop 2,968 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

The East Main neighborhood of Fargo is where census tract 38017010107 sits, home to 2,968 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is $1/10. That is riskier than roughly 2% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $898 a month against an average household income of $56,510 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 74% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 45% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,661
Renter share73.8%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$56,510

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In East Main
Moderate
Within parent city
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#15 of 30 tracts In Fargo
Moderate
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 44 tracts In Cass County
Elevated
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#65 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fargo and the region

Centroid at 46.8862, -96.8599 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Main scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fargo
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$898 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fargo
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fargo
1.5

How East Main compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Main risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 010107Fargo: 1.81.8Fargoparent cityCounty: 3.03.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.13.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Main

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 3.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fargo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cass County average of 3.2 and in line with the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 38017010107

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017010107?

Census tract 38017010107 in the East Main neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38017010107?

Median gross rent is $898/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38017010107?

9.1% of residents in tract 38017010107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,968.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38017010107?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 64th, minority 55th, housing 100th.
Q5

Is tract 38017010107 considered part of East Main?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017010107 fall within East Main (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 38017010107 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 38017010107 compare to Fargo overall?

Tract 38017010107 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fargo at 1.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fargo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fargo

Top eight tracts in Fargo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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