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Neighborhood · Fargo, ND

Lincoln Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,390 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3.7–3.7

Lincoln is a one-tract neighborhood of Fargo, ND and houses 4,390 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.7/10, in the Lower tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Cost burden runs 36% against 26.3% citywide, putting Lincoln 10.0% over its own city. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10. At $739 a month, rents sit 22% under what the rest of Fargo commands. Severe burden reaches 11%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

That places it #13 of 25 neighborhoods in Fargo. Rent takes 16% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lincoln vs Fargo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.3% +38%
Fargo: 26.3%
Average gross rent
$739 -22%
Fargo: $946
Average HH income
$54,003
Fargo: $0
Poverty rate
8.0% -38%
Fargo: 12.8%
Renter share
54.4% -3%
Fargo: 56.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.7–3.7

Why Lincoln scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Economic stress
8.0% below poverty line · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

Lincoln vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lincoln score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.7LincolnNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lincoln

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
38017001004 3.7 4,390 36% $739
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 55%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 72%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lincoln

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lincoln

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln?

Lincoln scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lincoln compare to Fargo overall?

Lincoln scores 0.5 points higher than Fargo overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Average rent: $739 vs $946.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lincoln?

Average gross rent in Lincoln eviction risk is $739/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lincoln residents are renters?

54% of Lincoln households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Fargo). The neighborhood has 4,390 residents.
Q5

Is Lincoln a high social-vulnerability area?

Lincoln sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lincoln for landlords?

Lincoln eviction risk carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fargo as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln?

Lincoln has 4,315 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.9%), Hispanic / Latino (7.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lincoln

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fargo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lincoln.

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