Neighborhood · Fargo, ND

Lincoln Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,390 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.6–3.6

Lincoln is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Fargo with 1 census tract and a population of 4,390 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 36% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 11% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $739/month sits 22% lower than the Fargo citywide average ($946).

Risk score

3.6

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Lincoln vs Fargo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

36.3% +38%

Fargo: 26.3%

Average gross rent

$739 -22%

Fargo: $946

Average HH income

$54,003 —

Fargo: $0

Poverty rate

8.0% -38%

Fargo: 12.8%

Renter share

54.4% -3%

Fargo: 56.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.6–3.6

Why Lincoln scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts

4.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Rent control risk

36% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

54% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Economic stress

8.0% below poverty line · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Risk score comparison

Lincoln vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Lincoln

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
38017001004	3.6	4,390	36%	$739

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 55%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 72%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lincoln

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

9.2%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility shutoff threat
11.8%Food insecurity
8.2%SNAP enrollment
7.0%No health insurance
27.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Lincoln

What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln?

Lincoln scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Lincoln compare to Fargo overall?

Lincoln scores 1.8 points higher than Fargo overall (1.8/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Average rent: $739 vs $946.

What is the average rent in Lincoln?

Average gross rent in Lincoln eviction risk is $739/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Lincoln residents are renters?

54% of Lincoln households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Fargo). The neighborhood has 4,390 residents.

Is Lincoln a high social-vulnerability area?

Lincoln sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Lincoln for landlords?

Lincoln eviction risk carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fargo as a whole (1.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln?

Lincoln has 4,315 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.9%), Hispanic / Latino (7.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lincoln

4.7 Madison/Unicorn Park 2 tracts · pop 5,038 4.5 Willow Park 2 tracts · pop 9,257 2.5 Osgood 2 tracts · pop 10,477 3.8 Northport 2 tracts · pop 6,592

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fargo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lincoln.

3.6 Westgate 1 tracts · pop 3,685 3.6 East Main 1 tracts · pop 2,968 3.5 Jefferson/Carl Ben 1 tracts · pop 5,144 3.7 Horace Mann 1 tracts · pop 3,222 3.5 River Drive 1 tracts · pop 3,902 3.8 Northport 2 tracts · pop 6,592

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