Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Roosevelt/NDSU Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fargo

Tract 38017000502 · Cass County, ND · pop 4,177 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 38017000502 in the Roosevelt/NDSU area of Fargo ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,177 residents. It lands near the 16th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $848 a month while the average household earns $33,087 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 89% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 35% Owners 11%

Tract context

Occupied units2,243

Renter share88.6%

SVI overall0.70

Poverty rate55.5%

Median income$33,087

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fargo and the region

Centroid at 46.8872, -96.8021 · click any tract to drill in

Why Roosevelt/NDSU scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fargo

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.9

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

55.5% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$848 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fargo

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fargo

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fargo

1.5

How Roosevelt/NDSU compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
32%Racial/ethnic minority
98%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.1%Housing insecurity
11.6%Utility-shutoff threat
24.5%Food insecurity
19.8%SNAP enrollment
15.8%Transit barriers
9.9%No health insurance
22.3%Frequent mental distress
34.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Roosevelt/NDSU

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fargo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cass County average of 3.2 and above the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 38017000502

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017000502?

Census tract 38017000502 in the Roosevelt/NDSU neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38017000502?

Median gross rent is $848/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38017000502?

55.5% of residents in tract 38017000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,177.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38017000502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 3th, minority 32th, housing 98th.

Is tract 38017000502 considered part of Roosevelt/NDSU?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017000502 fall within Roosevelt/NDSU (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 38017000502 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38017000502 compare to Fargo overall?

Tract 38017000502 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fargo at 1.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fargo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fargo

Top eight tracts in Fargo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.