Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Washington Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fargo
Tract 38017000400 ·
Cass County, ND · pop 4,273 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 38017000400 in the Washington area of Fargo, ND reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,273 residents. Cost burden runs 56% here against 36.2% across Cass County.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%Stable renters 19%Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,555
Renter share43.2%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate24.5%
Median income$73,291
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Washington
Moderate
Within parent city
97th percentile
#2 of 30 tracts In Fargo
Very High
Within county
86th percentile
#7 of 44 tracts In Cass County
High
Within state
97th percentile
#9 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fargo and the region
Centroid at 46.8964, -96.7901 · click any tract to drill in
Why Washington scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fargo
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.5% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,057 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fargo
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
How Washington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
55%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
9%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.4%Housing insecurity
6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
12.9%Food insecurity
9.0%SNAP enrollment
8.1%Transit barriers
7.5%No health insurance
15.8%Frequent mental distress
28.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Washington
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.1 points above the Cass County average of 3.5.
At $1,057 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Fargo commands. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $73,291, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the ND average is 3.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 38017000400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017000400?
Census tract 38017000400 in the Washington neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 38017000400?
Median gross rent is $1,057/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 38017000400?
24.5% of residents in tract 38017000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,273.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 38017000400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 3th, minority 9th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 38017000400 considered part of Washington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017000400 fall within Washington (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 38017000400 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 38017000400 compare to Fargo overall?
Tract 38017000400 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fargo at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fargo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fargo
Top eight tracts in Fargo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.