Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Madison/Unicorn Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fargo
Tract 38017000602 ·
Cass County, ND · pop 2,366 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 38017000602 covers part of the Madison/Unicorn Park area of Fargo, ND, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 58% here against 36.2% across Cass County.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%Stable renters 26%Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,374
Renter share61.1%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate35.0%
Median income$48,459
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Madison/Unicorn Park
Very Low
Within parent city
76th percentile
#8 of 30 tracts In Fargo
High
Within county
93th percentile
#4 of 44 tracts In Cass County
Very High
Within state
97th percentile
#9 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fargo and the region
Centroid at 46.8773, -96.8081 · click any tract to drill in
Why Madison/Unicorn Park scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fargo
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
35.0% poverty · this tract
8.7
Supply constraint
$771 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fargo
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
How Madison/Unicorn Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
68%Socioeconomic
41%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
93%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Madison/Unicorn Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.1%Housing insecurity
9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
18.0%Food insecurity
14.2%SNAP enrollment
10.3%Transit barriers
9.0%No health insurance
16.7%Frequent mental distress
31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Madison/Unicorn Park
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.7/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $771 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Fargo commands. It sits 1.1 points above the Cass County average of 3.5.
That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the ND average is 3.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $48,459. 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 38017000602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017000602?
Census tract 38017000602 in the Madison/Unicorn Park neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 38017000602?
Median gross rent is $771/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 38017000602?
35.0% of residents in tract 38017000602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,366.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 38017000602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 41th, minority 46th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 38017000602 considered part of Madison/Unicorn Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017000602 fall within Madison/Unicorn Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 38017000602 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 38017000602 compare to Fargo overall?
Tract 38017000602 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fargo at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fargo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fargo
Top eight tracts in Fargo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.