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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fargo

Tract 38017000700 · Cass County, ND · pop 1,462 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

38017000700 is a census tract in the Downtown area of Fargo, ND. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. This is renter territory: 97% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 48% Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units1,342
Renter share96.6%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate22.9%
Median income$29,451

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Downtown
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 30 tracts In Fargo
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 44 tracts In Cass County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fargo and the region

Centroid at 46.8771, -96.7862 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fargo
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.9% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$747 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fargo
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fargo
1.5

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0007003.2Fargoparent city3.5Countyavg tract in county3.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Cass County average of 36.2%. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $747, 21% below the Fargo average.

Against the Cass County average of 3.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 5.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the ND average is 3.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $29,451.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 38017000700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017000700?

Census tract 38017000700 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38017000700?

Median gross rent is $747/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38017000700?

22.9% of residents in tract 38017000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,462.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38017000700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 3th, minority 41th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 38017000700 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017000700 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 38017000700 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 38017000700 compare to Fargo overall?

Tract 38017000700 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fargo at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fargo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fargo

Top eight tracts in Fargo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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