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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Willow Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fargo

Tract 38017010106 · Cass County, ND · pop 6,046 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 38017010106 sits in the Willow Park area of Fargo eviction risk, ND, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. 98% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 56% Owners 2%
Tract context
Occupied units2,676
Renter share98.2%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate37.7%
Median income$41,602

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Willow Park
Very High
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 30 tracts In Fargo
High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 44 tracts In Cass County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fargo and the region

Centroid at 46.8569, -96.8516 · click any tract to drill in

Why Willow Park scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fargo
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
37.7% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$864 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fargo
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fargo
1.5

How Willow Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Willow Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0101063.2Fargoparent city3.5Countyavg tract in county3.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Willow Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Willow Park

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.4/10. The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 43% here against 36.2% across Cass County.

It sits 1.1 points above the Cass County average of 3.5. Average gross rent is $864, 9% below the Fargo average. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 8.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the ND average is 3.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $41,602.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 38017010106

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017010106?

Census tract 38017010106 in the Willow Park neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38017010106?

Median gross rent is $864/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38017010106?

37.7% of residents in tract 38017010106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,046.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38017010106?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 86th, minority 72th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 38017010106 considered part of Willow Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017010106 fall within Willow Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 38017010106 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 38017010106 compare to Fargo overall?

Tract 38017010106 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fargo at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fargo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fargo

Top eight tracts in Fargo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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