Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Grand Forks Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 38035010301 · Grand Forks County, ND · pop 2,311

Census tract 38035010301 covers part of Grand Forks, ND, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 66% Stable renters 27% Owners 7%

Tract context

Occupied units226

Renter share93.4%

SVI overall0.42

Poverty rate66.1%

Median income$37,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Forks and the region

Centroid at 47.9250, -97.0699 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grand Forks scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Grand Forks

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

66.1% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,357 rent vs county FMR

8.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Grand Forks

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Grand Forks

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Grand Forks

1.5

How Grand Forks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

84%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
20%Racial/ethnic minority
56%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.1%Housing insecurity
14.3%Utility-shutoff threat
32.2%Food insecurity
26.4%SNAP enrollment
21.3%Transit barriers
11.6%No health insurance
26.5%Frequent mental distress
41.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grand Forks

Cost burden runs 71% here against 39.2% across Grand Forks County. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 66%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

The voucher gap is 37.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. This is renter territory: 93% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. At $1,357 a month, rents run 38% over what the rest of Grand Forks commands.

Set annual rent against average income of $37,500 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.8/10.

SNAP participation runs 26.4% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Grand Forks County average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 38035010301

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38035010301?

Census tract 38035010301 in Grand Forks scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38035010301?

Median gross rent is $1,357/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38035010301?

66.1% of residents in tract 38035010301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,311.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38035010301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 1th, minority 20th, housing 56th.

What share of households in tract 38035010301 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38035010301 compare to Grand Forks overall?

Tract 38035010301 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Grand Forks at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Forks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Forks

Top eight tracts in Grand Forks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.