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Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Grand Forks Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 38035010804 · Grand Forks County, ND · pop 4,456 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Grand Forks

38035010804 is a census tract in Grand Forks, ND. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,456 residents. Against Grand Forks County at 39.2%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 32% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units2,455
Renter share74.1%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate23.7%
Median income$51,272

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 17 tracts In Grand Forks
High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 22 tracts In Grand Forks County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Very High
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Forks and the region

Centroid at 47.8975, -97.0866 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grand Forks scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Grand Forks
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.7% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,045 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Grand Forks
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Grand Forks
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Grand Forks
1.5

How Grand Forks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grand Forks risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0108043.2Grand Forksparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grand Forks

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10.

74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.0 points above the Grand Forks County average of 3.6. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the ND average is 3.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,045, close to the Grand Forks average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 38035010804

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38035010804?

Census tract 38035010804 in Grand Forks scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38035010804?

Median gross rent is $1,045/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38035010804?

23.7% of residents in tract 38035010804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,456.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38035010804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 8th, minority 30th, housing 76th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 38035010804 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 38035010804 compare to Grand Forks overall?

Tract 38035010804 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Grand Forks at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Forks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Forks

Top eight tracts in Grand Forks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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