Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Grand Forks Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 38035010302 · Grand Forks County, ND · pop 2,065

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 38035010302 in Grand Forks, ND reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 64% Stable renters 36% Owners 0%

Tract context

Occupied units405

Renter share100.0%

SVI overall0.57

Poverty rate55.0%

Median income$23,591

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Forks and the region

Centroid at 47.9217, -97.0818 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grand Forks scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Grand Forks

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

55.0% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$822 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Grand Forks

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Grand Forks

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Grand Forks

1.5

How Grand Forks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

63%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
90%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.8%Housing insecurity
11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
27.6%Food insecurity
20.0%SNAP enrollment
18.4%Transit barriers
10.4%No health insurance
24.3%Frequent mental distress
36.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grand Forks

Cost burden runs 64% here against 39.2% across Grand Forks County. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 55%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $23,591, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10.

Food insecurity runs 27.6% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Grand Forks County average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. At $822 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Grand Forks commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 38035010302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38035010302?

Census tract 38035010302 in Grand Forks scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38035010302?

Median gross rent is $822/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38035010302?

55.0% of residents in tract 38035010302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,065.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38035010302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 5th, minority 45th, housing 90th.

What share of households in tract 38035010302 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38035010302 compare to Grand Forks overall?

Tract 38035010302 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Grand Forks at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Forks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Forks

Top eight tracts in Grand Forks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.