Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Grand Forks Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 38035010805 · Grand Forks County, ND · pop 2,219

Census tract 38035010805 covers part of Grand Forks, ND, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,219 residents. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 28% Owners 45%

Tract context

Occupied units1,250

Renter share54.4%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate19.7%

Median income$61,154

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Forks and the region

Centroid at 47.8967, -97.0612 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grand Forks scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Grand Forks

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

19.7% poverty · this tract

4.9

Supply constraint

$940 rent vs county FMR

4.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Grand Forks

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Grand Forks

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Grand Forks

1.5

How Grand Forks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

68%Socioeconomic
80%Household composition
37%Racial/ethnic minority
77%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.7%Housing insecurity
7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
13.8%Food insecurity
9.3%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
8.6%No health insurance
15.1%Frequent mental distress
30.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grand Forks

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10.

Cost burden runs about half here against 39.2% across Grand Forks County. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Grand Forks County average of 3.6 closely. Average gross rent is $940, close to the Grand Forks average. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $61,154.

54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 38035010805

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38035010805?

Census tract 38035010805 in Grand Forks scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38035010805?

Median gross rent is $940/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38035010805?

19.7% of residents in tract 38035010805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,219.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38035010805?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 80th, minority 37th, housing 77th.

What share of households in tract 38035010805 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38035010805 compare to Grand Forks overall?

Tract 38035010805 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Grand Forks at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Forks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Forks

Top eight tracts in Grand Forks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.