Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Grand Forks Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 38035010600 · Grand Forks County, ND · pop 2,349 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 38035010600 covers part of the Downtown Grand Forks area of Grand Forks, ND, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,349 residents. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 28% Owners 47%

Tract context

Occupied units985

Renter share53.2%

SVI overall0.82

Poverty rate19.1%

Median income$59,596

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Forks and the region

Centroid at 47.9190, -97.0278 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Grand Forks scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Grand Forks

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

19.1% poverty · this tract

4.8

Supply constraint

$808 rent vs county FMR

3.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Grand Forks

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Grand Forks

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Grand Forks

1.5

How Downtown Grand Forks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

68%Socioeconomic
63%Household composition
47%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Grand Forks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.9%Housing insecurity
8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
14.7%Food insecurity
10.2%SNAP enrollment
8.6%Transit barriers
8.6%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
29.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Grand Forks

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Cost burden runs 47% here against 39.2% across Grand Forks County. At $808 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Grand Forks commands. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10.

Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $59,596, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Grand Forks County average of 3.6 closely.

53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 38035010600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38035010600?

Census tract 38035010600 in the Downtown Grand Forks neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38035010600?

Median gross rent is $808/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38035010600?

19.1% of residents in tract 38035010600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,349.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38035010600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 63th, minority 47th, housing 96th.

Is tract 38035010600 considered part of Downtown Grand Forks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38035010600 fall within Downtown Grand Forks (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 38035010600 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38035010600 compare to Grand Forks overall?

Tract 38035010600 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Grand Forks at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Forks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Forks

Top eight tracts in Grand Forks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.