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Neighborhood · Garfield Heights, OH

Mill Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 13,002 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 4.3–5.2

Mill Creek is a black-white neighborhood in Garfield Heights with 5 census tracts and a population of 13,002 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,056/month sits 6% lower than the Garfield Heights citywide average ($1,129).

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Mill Creek vs Garfield Heights How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.3% +37%
Garfield Heights: 37.5%
Average gross rent
$1,056 -6%
Garfield Heights: $1,129
Average HH income
$50,257 -3%
Garfield Heights: $52,006
Poverty rate
15.3% -28%
Garfield Heights: 21.4%
Renter share
44.5% +7%
Garfield Heights: 41.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mill Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 4.3–5.2

Why Mill Creek scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 2.0–8.9 across tracts
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–5.5 across tracts
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
45% renter households · Range 6.0–8.4 across tracts
7.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–8.5 across tracts
7.7
Economic stress
15.3% below poverty line · Range 2.8–6.4 across tracts
3.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–6.2 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

Mill Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mill Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Mill Creek: 4.64.6Mill CreekNeighborhoodParent city: 3.23.2Parent cityhost cityState: 2.82.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Mill Creek?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.9 points from 4.3 to 5.2. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Mill Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39035154100 5.2 2,226 47% $1,058
39035115900 4.6 3,129 42% $876
39035154501 4.5 3,451 60% $1,076
39035154200 4.5 1,384 29% $816
39035154400 4.3 2,812 66% $1,349
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mill Creek

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,202Total filings (sum)
  • 9.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.3%Peak year (2016)
  • 10.19%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 397Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.2Avg monthly observed
  • 6.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.75×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland, OH).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mill Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Mill Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mill Creek?

Mill Creek scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mill Creek compare to Garfield Heights overall?

Mill Creek scores 1.4 points higher than Garfield Heights overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 38% citywide. Average rent: $1,056 vs $1,129.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mill Creek?

Average gross rent in Mill Creek is $1,056/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mill Creek residents are renters?

45% of Mill Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in Garfield Heights). The neighborhood has 13,002 residents.
Q5

Is Mill Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Mill Creek sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Mill Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Mill Creek is census tract 39035154100 (score 5.2/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.3 to 5.2, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Mill Creek for landlords?

Mill Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Garfield Heights as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Mill Creek?

Mill Creek has 13,635 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (52%), White (non-Hispanic) (40.3%), Hispanic / Latino (3.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mill Creek

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