Neighborhood · Ranked #31,898 of 84,120 nationally

Mill Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Garfield Heights

Tract 39035154200 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 1,384 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 39035154200 covers Mill Creek in Garfield Heights in Ohio. Home to 1,384 residents, it scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 67% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 29% of renter households, a moderate level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $816 monthly, set against $42,024 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 35% Owners 51%

Tract context

Occupied units806

Renter share49.3%

SVI overall0.81

Poverty rate12.4%

Median income$42,024

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Garfield Heights and the region

Centroid at 41.4308, -81.6084 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mill Creek scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Garfield Heights

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.7

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

12.4% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

$816 rent vs county FMR

1.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Garfield Heights

8.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Garfield Heights

8.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Garfield Heights

8.5

How Mill Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
80%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
49%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
19%Grade B
20%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

309Total filings over 12 yrs
7.24%Avg annual filing rate
7.4%Peak (2015)
30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2004 to 2016

Filings climbed 50% over the past 12 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mill Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.7%Housing insecurity
15.7%Utility-shutoff threat
25.1%Food insecurity
22.7%SNAP enrollment
12.7%Transit barriers
9.6%No health insurance
18.9%Frequent mental distress
33.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mill Creek

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Garfield Heights eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035154200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035154200?

Census tract 39035154200 in the Mill Creek neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39035154200?

Median gross rent is $816/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035154200?

12.4% of residents in tract 39035154200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,384.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035154200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 80th, minority 67th, housing 49th.

Is tract 39035154200 considered part of Mill Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035154200 fall within Mill Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035154200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 309 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035154200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.24% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39035154200 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39035154200 compare to Garfield Heights overall?

Tract 39035154200 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Garfield Heights at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garfield Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39035154200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Garfield Heights

Top eight tracts in Garfield Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.