Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Mill Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Garfield Heights
Tract 39035115900 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 3,129 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
39035115900 is a census tract in the Mill Creek area of Cleveland, OH. It scores 5/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,129. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.2/10.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,486
Renter share40.9%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$51,439
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Garfield Heights and the region
Centroid at 41.4382, -81.6243 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mill Creek scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Garfield Heights
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$876 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Garfield Heights
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Garfield Heights
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Garfield Heights
5.0
How Mill Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 46%Grade C
- 30%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 827Total filings over 12 yrs
- 12.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.4%Peak (2016)
- 89Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 59% over the past 12 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 397Total filings 2020-21
- 5.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.75×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cleveland, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mill Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.9%Housing insecurity
- 18.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.0%Food insecurity
- 28.0%SNAP enrollment
- 14.5%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 34.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mill Creek
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Housing insecurity runs 22.9% against 14.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 827 filings here across 12 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 14.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Cleveland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 12.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39035115900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035115900?
Census tract 39035115900 in the Mill Creek neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39035115900?
Median gross rent is $876/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39035115900?
13.3% of residents in tract 39035115900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,129.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39035115900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 2th, minority 74th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 39035115900 considered part of Mill Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035115900 fall within Mill Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035115900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 827 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035115900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.16% of renter households, peaking at 14.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39035115900 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39035115900 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39035115900 compare to Garfield Heights overall?
Tract 39035115900 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Garfield Heights at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garfield Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 39035115900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 30% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Garfield Heights
Top eight tracts in Garfield Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Magnolia-Wade Park Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Warszawa Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Miles Park Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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