Neighborhood · Ranked #41,480 of 84,120 nationally

Mill Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Garfield Heights

Tract 39035115900 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 3,129 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Eviction risk in Mill Creek in Garfield Heights centers on tract 39035115900, which scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,129 residents. It lands near the 60th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $876 a month while the average household earns $51,439 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 24% Owners 59%

Tract context

Occupied units1,486

Renter share40.9%

SVI overall0.35

Poverty rate13.3%

Median income$51,439

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Garfield Heights and the region

Centroid at 41.4382, -81.6243 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mill Creek scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Garfield Heights

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.7

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

13.3% poverty · this tract

3.3

Supply constraint

$876 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Garfield Heights

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Garfield Heights

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Garfield Heights

5.0

How Mill Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

71%Socioeconomic
2%Household composition
74%Racial/ethnic minority
28%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
46%Grade C
30%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

827Total filings over 12 yrs
12.16%Avg annual filing rate
14.4%Peak (2016)
89Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2004 to 2016

Filings climbed 59% over the past 12 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

397Total filings 2020-21
5.2Avg monthly (observed)
6.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.75×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cleveland, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mill Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.9%Housing insecurity
18.6%Utility-shutoff threat
29.0%Food insecurity
28.0%SNAP enrollment
14.5%Transit barriers
10.3%No health insurance
19.1%Frequent mental distress
34.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mill Creek

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Garfield Heights eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.75x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035115900

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035115900?

Census tract 39035115900 in the Mill Creek neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39035115900?

Median gross rent is $876/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035115900?

13.3% of residents in tract 39035115900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,129.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035115900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 2th, minority 74th, housing 28th.

Is tract 39035115900 considered part of Mill Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035115900 fall within Mill Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035115900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 827 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035115900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.16% of renter households, peaking at 14.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 39035115900 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cleveland eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 39035115900 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39035115900 compare to Garfield Heights overall?

Tract 39035115900 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Garfield Heights at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garfield Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 39035115900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 30% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Garfield Heights

Top eight tracts in Garfield Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.