Neighborhood · Ranked #33,355 of 84,120 nationally

Chagrin-Lee Eviction Risk: Moderate , Shaker Heights

Tract 39035183502 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 3,493 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 5.3/10, tract 39035183502 in the Chagrin-Lee area of Shaker Heights ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,493 residents. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 35% of renter households, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,005 a month against an average household income of $112,658 a year, roughly 11% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 21% Owners 68%

Tract context

Occupied units1,613

Renter share31.4%

SVI overall0.31

Poverty rate8.1%

Median income$112,658

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shaker Heights and the region

Centroid at 41.4697, -81.5573 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chagrin-Lee scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Shaker Heights

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.7

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

8.1% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$1,005 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Shaker Heights

4.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Shaker Heights

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Shaker Heights

4.2

How Chagrin-Lee compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

9%Socioeconomic
62%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
47%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

92%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

266Total filings over 12 yrs
4.58%Avg annual filing rate
6.1%Peak (2012)
17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2004 to 2016

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Chagrin-Lee. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.3%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
7.7%Food insecurity
5.6%SNAP enrollment
4.7%Transit barriers
4.2%No health insurance
12.7%Frequent mental distress
21.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chagrin-Lee

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 266 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 4.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.1% of renter households in 2012.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035183502

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035183502?

Census tract 39035183502 in the Chagrin-Lee neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39035183502?

Median gross rent is $1,005/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035183502?

8.1% of residents in tract 39035183502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,493.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035183502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 62th, minority 56th, housing 47th.

Is tract 39035183502 considered part of Chagrin-Lee?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035183502 fall within Chagrin-Lee (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035183502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 266 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035183502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.58% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39035183502 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39035183502 compare to Shaker Heights overall?

Tract 39035183502 scores 5.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Shaker Heights at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39035183502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Shaker Heights

Top eight tracts in Shaker Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.